32rsdfs

0x5a46f0...ae6ded

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.5%

Total P&L

+$123

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.34

Sortino Ratio

-0.22

Max Drawdown

13363.4%

ROI

1.9%

Profit Factor

2.51

Kelly Fraction

0.527

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	194.669	Mar 4
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?	BUY	98.7¢	182.303	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	96.2¢	130.977	Mar 4
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February?	BUY	98.8¢	232.794	Feb 12
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	268.543	Feb 12
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	98.7¢	141.844	Jan 29
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?	SELL	99.8¢	133	Jan 29
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?	BUY	99.4¢	157.948	Jan 25
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?	BUY	99.5¢	160.804	Jan 8
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.4¢	335.01	Jan 8
Pepe ETF in 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	138.554	Dec 16
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	98.2¢	157.846	Dec 16
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	BUY	94.9¢	275.026	Nov 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 13?	BUY	99.7¢	272.818	Nov 13
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?	BUY	99.8¢	272.545	Oct 31
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?	BUY	99.0¢	264.571	Oct 25
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?	SELL	98.0¢	163.6	Oct 23
Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on October 20?	BUY	99.8¢	110.22	Oct 19
Will Elon Musk be richest person on October 31?	BUY	97.8¢	163.607	Oct 19
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	BUY	90.0¢	200	Sep 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency65.0%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity34 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,7241d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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