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39502

0x1ae69b...c364d8
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
89.2%
Total P&L
+$34
Trade Count
113
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30
Sortino Ratio
-0.26
Max Drawdown
1216.1%
ROI
12.7%
Profit Factor
2.98
Kelly Fraction
0.593
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY96.0¢2.083Mar 5
GTA VI released before June 2026?BUY97.9¢2.043Mar 1
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?BUY99.7¢2.006Feb 28
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 28 be less than 2,000,000?BUY98.0¢2.041Feb 26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY97.6¢3.075Feb 26
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY94.2¢2.123Feb 24
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?BUY99.6¢2.008Feb 20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY98.3¢2.035Feb 19
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?BUY96.5¢2.073Feb 14
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?BUY99.9¢2.002Feb 14
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?BUY98.5¢2.03Feb 13
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY95.9¢2.085Feb 12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.9¢2.022Feb 11
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 10
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $175 on February 10?BUY99.7¢2.006Feb 10
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?BUY98.3¢2.035Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSELL68.0¢3.22Feb 9
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETBUY60.0¢3.333Feb 9
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 5, 2026?BUY98.9¢2.022Feb 5
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY97.7¢2.047Feb 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%11%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%81%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.48
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.5%
Win Consistency54.8%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.56
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity113 trades · 83 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$2112d profit81d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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