43b5

0x73870d...fca020
Smart Score
28
Win Rate
71.0%
Total P&L
+$21
Trade Count
220
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48
Sortino Ratio
-0.42
Max Drawdown
161.5%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
27.96
Kelly Fraction
0.684
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY99.9¢1.361Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on March 5?BUY99.7¢1.003Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?BUY99.8¢4.449Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $20 in March?BUY99.4¢3.33Mar 5
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢1,726.193Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢100Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢1,436.35Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.8¢9,330.47Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢30.211Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢222Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢40Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢31Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢80Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢6.2Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢20Mar 4
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢78Mar 3
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢145.237Mar 3
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢272Mar 3
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢74Mar 3
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7¢12Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%84%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%16%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%
Win Consistency38.7%
Profit Factor0.73
Drawdown Resilience0.59
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59
Weekly Sharpe est.0.45
Trading Activity199 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
$1163d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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