444zzzz

0x22b090...ddef31

Smart Score

Win Rate

22.1%

Total P&L

+$1.7K

Trade Count

969

Sharpe Ratio

1.54

Sortino Ratio

248.54

Max Drawdown

12.7%

ROI

8.7%

Profit Factor

1.51

Kelly Fraction

0.075

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

059.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	80.5¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	14.0¢	13.91	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	21.0¢	18.59	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	17.0¢	32.5	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	10.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	77.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	36.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	SELL	55.0¢	45.11	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	98.5¢	29.85	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	55.0¢	18.8	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	40.0¢	25.84	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	BUY	83.0¢	3.145	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	SELL	66.0¢	4.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	BUY	56.0¢	4.089	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	SELL	98.0¢	2.33	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	95.0¢	2.337	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	SELL	99.1¢	2.24	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BUY	93.0¢	2.247	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	SELL	0.6¢	200	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active59.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.4%

Win Consistency78.0%

Profit Factor1.55

Drawdown Resilience1.26

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.26

Weekly Sharpe est.0.96

Trading Activity969 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$8328d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue