457564gtf

0x4c9552...035100

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.2%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

317

Sharpe Ratio

-1.77

Sortino Ratio

-1.63

Max Drawdown

6250.8%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.05

Kelly Fraction

0.029

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	5.17	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	5.176	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	SELL	99.6¢	8.04	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	99.5¢	8.04	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	9.091	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	SELL	99.9¢	8.16	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	5.29	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.4¢	5.297	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	8.163	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	62.0¢	12.9	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	12.903	Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	79.0¢	10.19	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET	BUY	98.2¢	10.183	Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	78.5¢	10.191	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.6¢	5.38	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.9¢	5.382	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	7.368	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	9.19	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	9.193	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	8.25	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.9%

Win Consistency41.6%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity317 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

$5267d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue