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45y452345t

0x0b1b73...2f97ac
Smart Score
17
Win Rate
69.4%
Total P&L
+$21
Trade Count
342
Sharpe Ratio
-2.00
Sortino Ratio
-1.96
Max Drawdown
4041.9%
ROI
0.9%
Profit Factor
2.68
Kelly Fraction
0.435
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
016.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY80.0¢8.75Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢19.6Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETSELL99.8¢10.08Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ETBUY99.2¢10.085Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢19.608Mar 5
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?SELL51.0¢13.47Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL78.7¢8.87Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢10.21Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢10.214Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETSELL79.0¢9.3Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY96.7¢9.307Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL78.4¢7.61Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.9¢10.01Mar 4
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY78.8¢7.614Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)BUY94.0¢5.319Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY79.0¢8.861Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ETBUY98.0¢10.204Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.17Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4AM ETBUY99.4¢9.054Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%16%50–70%8%70–80%10%80–90%62%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing16.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.91
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.1%
Win Consistency38.3%
Profit Factor0.43
Drawdown Resilience0.35
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35
Weekly Sharpe est.0.27
Trading Activity342 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4635d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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