47.245.140.116

0x6909fa...7a0a2a
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
37.5%
Total P&L
-$54
Trade Count
35
Sharpe Ratio
-2.12
Sortino Ratio
-1.93
Max Drawdown
26.9%
ROI
-9.4%
Profit Factor
0.69
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
020.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.7¢58.824Mar 5
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.8¢21.708Mar 5
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢30.46Mar 3
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.2¢71.42Mar 3
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.1¢30.469Mar 2
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.4¢71.429Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5AM ETBUY50.0¢15.02Feb 28
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.2¢76.92Feb 27
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL98.7¢27.26Feb 27
Solana Up or Down - February 26, 7AM ETBUY51.0¢18.529Feb 26
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.3¢76.923Feb 26
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.8¢27.267Feb 26
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL98.4¢28.53Feb 25
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL1.0¢90.9Feb 25
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY1.1¢90.909Feb 24
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY98.3¢28.535Feb 24
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL2.3¢43.47Feb 23
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL97.9¢22.21Feb 23
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY97.8¢22.219Feb 22
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY2.3¢43.478Feb 22
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%24%< 10%10–20%20–30%4%30–50%48%50–70%70–80%80–90%24%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.14
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.8%
Win Consistency20.0%
Profit Factor0.54
Drawdown Resilience0.43
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43
Weekly Sharpe est.0.33
Trading Activity35 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$3275d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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