4centvin

0x167a09...c5e952

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$31.2K

Trade Count

990

Sharpe Ratio

0.34

Sortino Ratio

4.29

Max Drawdown

301.4%

ROI

47.9%

Profit Factor

10.43

Kelly Fraction

0.452

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	77.0¢	72.4	Nov 23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	77.0¢	1.31	Nov 23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	77.0¢	5	Nov 23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	77.0¢	20	Nov 23
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	77.0¢	1.299	Nov 23
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	39.9¢	178.88	Nov 22
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	SELL	55.0¢	12.5	Nov 22
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	39.9¢	121.12	Nov 22
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	18.0¢	9.37	Nov 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 21?	BUY	12.0¢	348	Nov 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 21?	BUY	12.0¢	152	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	27.3¢	6	Nov 21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	18.0¢	5	Nov 21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	18.0¢	10	Nov 21
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	18.0¢	271.402	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	26.0¢	200	Nov 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 21?	BUY	48.0¢	189	Nov 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on November 21?	BUY	48.0¢	11	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	SELL	33.2¢	2.24	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	32.3¢	500	Nov 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.3%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor1.18

Drawdown Resilience0.95

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity321 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$4302d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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