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4dsarf

0x2c24e1...2331de
Smart Score
41
Win Rate
64.3%
Total P&L
+$55
Trade Count
409
Sharpe Ratio
0.37
Sortino Ratio
3.84
Max Drawdown
1151.3%
ROI
1.9%
Profit Factor
6.10
Kelly Fraction
0.537
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
041.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢15.152Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL75.4¢9.32Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢8.25Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢7.17Mar 4
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢4.58Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢0.63Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢5.208Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢10.6Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢10.571Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5PM ETBUY99.0¢7.071Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢7.071Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL69.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL69.0¢11.76Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢11.765Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL96.0¢5.22Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢5.208Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.6¢7.18Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.7¢7.165Mar 4
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢11.765Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%8%70–80%6%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.26
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.4%
Win Consistency45.9%
Profit Factor1.07
Drawdown Resilience0.86
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.86
Weekly Sharpe est.0.66
Trading Activity409 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$4899d profit29d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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