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5273853

5273853

0x10b289...e74ceb
Smart Score
61
Win Rate
23.8%
Total P&L
+$14.7K
Trade Count
4,000
Sharpe Ratio
1.56
Sortino Ratio
7.50
Max Drawdown
63.9%
ROI
37.9%
Profit Factor
10.52
Kelly Fraction
0.215
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
060.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY38.0¢21.842Mar 5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY30.0¢109.267Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?BUY38.0¢60.947Mar 5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY45.3¢200.717Mar 5
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?SELL9.0¢4.75Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL20.4¢9.72Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL20.4¢9.72Mar 5
Will Raja Krishnamoorthi be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?BUY45.0¢10Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?SELL31.0¢6.72Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?SELL31.0¢6.72Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?SELL31.0¢6.72Mar 5
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?SELL8.0¢11.14Mar 5
Will "War Machine" be the top US Netflix movie this week?BUY9.6¢11.142Mar 5
Will the US strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY7.5¢105.333Mar 5
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL6.0¢53.14Mar 5
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY8.0¢110.25Mar 5
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY48.0¢4Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY18.0¢59.833Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL20.7¢100Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?SELL20.5¢63.25Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%27%10–20%27%20–30%31%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active60.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.34
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)55.2%
Win Consistency40.4%
Profit Factor1.58
Drawdown Resilience1.27
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.27
Weekly Sharpe est.0.97
Trading Activity4,000 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$10,6761d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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