534dds

0x3cf3cb...43a688

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.6%

Total P&L

-$8

Trade Count

351

Sharpe Ratio

-1.38

Sortino Ratio

-1.44

Max Drawdown

1425.3%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.94

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

02.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	9.184	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	9.82	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	9.825	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	78.0¢	5.15	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.6¢	11.4	Mar 4
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.9¢	11.408	Mar 4
Spread: Chelsea FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	6.316	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	7.021	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	10.26	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	10.267	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	97.0¢	5.15	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	97.0¢	5.155	Mar 4
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)	BUY	94.0¢	7.447	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	97.7¢	8.17	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.9¢	8.172	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	10.204	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	82.2¢	9.72	Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	82.3¢	9.721	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1AM ET	BUY	98.9¢	7.078	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing2.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.2%

Win Consistency45.9%

Profit Factor0.06

Drawdown Resilience0.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.04

Trading Activity351 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$7209d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue