5F402

0x2f1afc...87103b

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.3%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

149

Sharpe Ratio

-0.08

Sortino Ratio

-0.04

Max Drawdown

116.1%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

1.25

Kelly Fraction

0.154

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	147.275	Mar 5
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	12.048	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8?	BUY	99.1¢	12.109	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?	BUY	99.7¢	12.036	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	21.021	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?	BUY	99.2¢	21.169	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March?	BUY	99.5¢	21.105	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March?	BUY	99.7¢	21.063	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	21.042	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	21.084	Mar 5
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	0.7¢	27,142.857	Mar 5
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.3¢	419	Mar 5
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	419.667	Feb 16
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	21.042	Feb 16
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?	BUY	99.8¢	21.042	Feb 16
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	21.105	Feb 16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	21.127	Feb 16

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.87

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.4%

Win Consistency72.3%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity149 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,6468d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue