5pybmlfs

0x539a3d...e53a7b

Smart Score

Win Rate

80.0%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

355

Sharpe Ratio

0.76

Sortino Ratio

2.21

Max Drawdown

700.0%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

9.18

Kelly Fraction

0.713

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	SELL	94.9¢	45.65	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	45.65	Mar 4
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	94.2¢	49.87	Mar 4
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	94.6¢	49.87	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	90.2¢	54.14	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	91.3¢	14.15	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	91.3¢	39.99	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.3¢	54.56	Mar 3
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.4¢	54.56	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	SELL	95.3¢	55.44	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	95.7¢	55.44	Mar 3
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	97.8¢	48.67	Mar 3
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.2¢	35.5	Mar 2
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.2¢	13.17	Mar 2
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	97.6¢	56.69	Mar 1
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	97.8¢	56.69	Mar 1
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.1¢	50.52	Mar 1
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	SELL	94.6¢	6.29	Mar 1
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	BUY	94.7¢	6.29	Mar 1
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.2¢	9.24	Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.05

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)33.9%

Win Consistency32.0%

Profit Factor0.97

Drawdown Resilience0.78

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.78

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity355 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$3311d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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