67-hka

0x41b274...0aa866

Smart Score

Win Rate

93.8%

Total P&L

+$42

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.17

Sortino Ratio

0.09

Max Drawdown

80.4%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2723.73

Kelly Fraction

0.937

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

037.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.8¢	30.881	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	30.511	Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1?	BUY	98.5¢	30.457	Mar 1
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?	BUY	99.5¢	2,014.764	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.7¢	2,004.684	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 25?	BUY	99.7¢	1,999.155	Feb 24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 24?	BUY	99.8¢	1,992.174	Feb 22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	1,988.188	Feb 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	1,986.196	Feb 19
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	1,984.214	Feb 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 17?	SELL	99.8¢	1,986.2	Feb 16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 17?	BUY	99.5¢	1,986.208	Feb 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 15?	BUY	99.9¢	1,975.765	Feb 15
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	9.618	Dec 22
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	98.2¢	9.562	Nov 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on November 8?	BUY	99.9¢	9.389	Nov 6
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?	BUY	97.2¢	8.436	Oct 17

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing37.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.07

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.3%

Win Consistency75.0%

Profit Factor0.98

Drawdown Resilience0.79

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79

Weekly Sharpe est.0.60

Trading Activity17 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$16,0321d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue