67458

0x130c54...060858

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.4%

Total P&L

+$127

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.79

Sortino Ratio

-0.60

Max Drawdown

3.5%

ROI

2.5%

Profit Factor

165.78

Kelly Fraction

0.680

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

056.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.1¢	270	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	267.733	Feb 9
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	261.035	Feb 1
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	257.117	Jan 27
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	95.7¢	250	Jan 21
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	BUY	92.0¢	240	Jan 15
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	1.1¢	120	Jan 14
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	1.2¢	120	Jan 12
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.3¢	220	Jan 12
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.4¢	220	Jan 9
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	223.421	Dec 30
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	96.8¢	220	Dec 29
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	97.0¢	220	Dec 28
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	SELL	1.5¢	140	Dec 23
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.5¢	140	Dec 21
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?	BUY	99.2¢	222.525	Dec 15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	SELL	99.1¢	220	Dec 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?	BUY	99.2¢	220	Dec 4
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	1.5¢	130.15	Dec 3
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	1.7¢	130.155	Dec 2

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active56.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.13

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)51.8%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor1.48

Drawdown Resilience1.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.91

Trading Activity35 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,06513d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue