74564

0x0fac93...e961e0

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

-$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.56

Sortino Ratio

-0.45

Max Drawdown

58.4%

ROI

-0.1%

Profit Factor

0.58

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.5¢	12.06	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 March 2-8?	BUY	99.9¢	16.016	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 5?	BUY	99.8¢	12.024	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	BUY	99.9¢	15.015	Mar 5
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in March?	BUY	99.8¢	9.018	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?	BUY	99.6¢	13.052	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.5¢	12.06	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	13.016	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	10.05	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	12.012	Feb 8
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	11.011	Feb 8
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	83.0¢	16.57	Feb 8
Kristi Noem out by March 31?	SELL	90.0¢	14.86	Feb 8
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 5?	BUY	99.9¢	9.709	Feb 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5?	BUY	99.7¢	9.027	Feb 5
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?	BUY	99.4¢	12.072	Feb 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	16.57	Jan 29
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Jan 29
Kristi Noem out by March 31?	BUY	74.0¢	14.865	Jan 29
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?	BUY	96.8¢	11.364	Jan 29

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.1%

Win Consistency56.7%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity78 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$4660d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue