7562311

0x5efac6...09dc24

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$18

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.23

Sortino Ratio

-0.96

Max Drawdown

233.5%

ROI

0.5%

Profit Factor

6.36

Kelly Fraction

0.590

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	190	Mar 5
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	193.004	Feb 17
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	191.462	Feb 1
US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?	BUY	99.1¢	189.869	Jan 27
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?	BUY	95.5¢	180	Jan 21
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	180.063	Jan 15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	SELL	97.9¢	170	Jan 14
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	BUY	97.7¢	170	Jan 12
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	SELL	99.6¢	1	Jan 12
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	BUY	99.6¢	1.004	Jan 9
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	170.721	Dec 30
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	3.7¢	150	Dec 29
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	3.8¢	150	Dec 28
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	96.4¢	170	Dec 23
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.1¢	170	Dec 21
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	SELL	98.4¢	170	Dec 17
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	BUY	98.2¢	170	Dec 15
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	SELL	5.2¢	150.04	Dec 5
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?	BUY	5.7¢	150.045	Dec 4
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	92.5¢	180	Dec 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.41

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.4%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity37 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,27515d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue