7563s

0x5e3931...085bf2

Smart Score

Win Rate

100.0%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.31

Sortino Ratio

-0.45

Max Drawdown

942.1%

ROI

0.7%

Profit Factor

10.00

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	95.4¢	22.694	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	21.655	Feb 23
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	21.581	Feb 7
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?	BUY	99.6¢	21.496	Jan 19
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	21.443	Jan 5
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?	BUY	98.2¢	21.13	Dec 22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	20.521	Dec 7
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	20.701	Nov 25
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	20.6	Nov 17
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	20.38	Nov 10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on November 3?	BUY	99.6¢	20.382	Nov 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 30?	BUY	99.8¢	20.24	Oct 30
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on October 25?	BUY	99.9¢	20.38	Oct 24
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,200 and $4,300 on October 21?	BUY	99.9¢	20.14	Oct 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 15?	BUY	99.9¢	20.32	Oct 15

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.6%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor0.47

Drawdown Resilience0.38

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.38

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity15 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$3110d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue