8elce3ba

0x75c016...7d8135

Smart Score

Win Rate

74.2%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

208

Sharpe Ratio

-0.86

Sortino Ratio

-1.61

Max Drawdown

17513.4%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

4.50

Kelly Fraction

0.577

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	BUY	96.1¢	40.09	Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	90.2¢	42.12	Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	90.3¢	22.12	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	90.3¢	20	Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	SELL	96.7¢	48.77	Mar 4
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	BUY	96.5¢	48.77	Mar 4
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	92.7¢	39.74	Mar 4
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	92.7¢	39.74	Mar 3
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	93.0¢	46.22	Mar 3
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.3¢	46.23	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	SELL	95.7¢	41.12	Mar 3
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in March?	BUY	95.8¢	41.12	Mar 3
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	91.2¢	42.22	Mar 2
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	90.6¢	34.22	Feb 25
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	90.6¢	8	Feb 25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	97.1¢	48	Feb 11
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	97.3¢	48	Feb 11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	SELL	96.0¢	49.47	Feb 11
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.2¢	49.48	Feb 11
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.0¢	46.56	Feb 11

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.28

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.1%

Win Consistency30.4%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.49

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.49

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity208 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$4110d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue