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99problems123

0x00425c...57321e
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
46.8%
Total P&L
+$24.6K
Trade Count
991
Sharpe Ratio
-1.90
Sortino Ratio
-2.91
Max Drawdown
1369.9%
ROI
4.8%
Profit Factor
1.55
Kelly Fraction
0.166
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY7.9¢1,025Mar 4
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?BUY31.0¢5,456.58Mar 4
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY7.0¢1,624.42Mar 4
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?BUY2.1¢4,758.39Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY29.0¢25,933.82Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?BUY47.0¢261.85Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?BUY47.0¢233.71Mar 4
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?BUY47.0¢4.435Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY36.0¢519.45Mar 3
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.5¢725.11Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?SELL20.0¢15,000Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY36.0¢10,438.8Mar 3
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?BUY23.0¢287.36Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY31.7¢2,040.27Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY51.0¢713Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY44.9¢235.85Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY29.9¢574.62Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY23.5¢34.39Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY23.5¢21.895Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY23.1¢233.77Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%7%10–20%12%20–30%11%30–50%16%50–70%4%70–80%3%80–90%5%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.50
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.3%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.24
Drawdown Resilience0.19
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19
Weekly Sharpe est.0.15
Trading Activity991 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$180,3811d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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