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a2botbbo

0x0e502f...897588
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
92.1%
Total P&L
-$7
Trade Count
440
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Sortino Ratio
0.07
Max Drawdown
1984.9%
ROI
-0.0%
Profit Factor
6.32
Kelly Fraction
0.775
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
032.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?SELL97.6¢49.26Mar 5
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?BUY97.8¢49.26Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL96.5¢46.97Mar 4
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY97.2¢46.98Mar 4
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL94.8¢49.27Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY94.9¢23.27Mar 3
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY94.9¢26Mar 3
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL94.5¢61.27Mar 3
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY94.6¢61.27Mar 3
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?SELL98.5¢54.58Mar 3
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?BUY97.3¢54.58Mar 2
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL96.1¢53.4Mar 1
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY96.2¢53.4Mar 1
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL95.0¢58.84Mar 1
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY95.2¢58.84Mar 1
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.6¢52.19Mar 1
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.7¢52.19Mar 1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.7¢45.29Mar 1
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.8¢45.29Mar 1
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL97.4¢51.17Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing32.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.81
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.9%
Win Consistency33.9%
Profit Factor0.86
Drawdown Resilience0.69
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.69
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity440 trades · 34 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1112d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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