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a4esniw

0x55d3e7...8ddaff
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
-$45
Trade Count
20
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Sortino Ratio
1.66
Max Drawdown
119.3%
ROI
-3.5%
Profit Factor
0.92
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY12.2¢122.849Mar 5
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY3.2¢312.5Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY61.4¢162.866Mar 5
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢401.857Mar 2
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢5.952Mar 2
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢1.19Mar 2
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢58.869Mar 2
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢3.571Mar 2
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢20Mar 1
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢59.524Mar 1
Will Vail Resorts (MTN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY52.5¢190.517Mar 1
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY16.0¢39Mar 1
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY15.0¢10Mar 1
Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY15.6¢642.305Mar 1
Will CRISPR Therapeutics (CRSP) beat quarterly earnings?BUY30.1¢332.461Feb 11
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY61.0¢327.869Feb 11
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?BUY47.7¢314.224Feb 11
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?BUY52.3¢382.211Feb 11
Will Eric Adams drop out?BUY54.9¢182.218Sep 6
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?BUY43.0¢232.558Sep 6

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%55%10–20%20–30%15%30–50%25%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.85
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.0%
Win Consistency54.5%
Profit Factor0.40
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.25
Trading Activity20 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,2710d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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