A52852

0x348a45...ef9c6b

Smart Score

Win Rate

76.6%

Total P&L

-$1.8K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.70

Sortino Ratio

10.80

Max Drawdown

3050.0%

ROI

-2.0%

Profit Factor

0.82

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	234.19	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 3?	SELL	97.0¢	70.52	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 3?	BUY	92.3¢	21.83	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 3?	BUY	92.9¢	70.31	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 62°F or higher on March 3?	BUY	97.1¢	66.03	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 58-59°F on March 3?	BUY	99.5¢	100	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on March 3?	BUY	99.0¢	238.31	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on March 4?	BUY	99.2¢	234.19	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on March 4?	BUY	99.5¢	37.89	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?	BUY	92.0¢	147.24	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 3?	BUY	99.3¢	159	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 3?	BUY	98.5¢	173	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?	BUY	80.9¢	137.75	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 46°F or higher on March 3?	BUY	98.9¢	58.76	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3?	BUY	90.5¢	351.43	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	14.4	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	38.84	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	12	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	1.87	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 3?	SELL	0.1¢	12.05	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.69

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%

Win Consistency53.9%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$78,7911d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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