aarson

0x0258ae...2f13bf

Smart Score

Win Rate

53.1%

Total P&L

+$4.4K

Trade Count

3,813

Sharpe Ratio

0.92

Sortino Ratio

2.93

Max Drawdown

2991.5%

ROI

5.6%

Profit Factor

1.21

Kelly Fraction

0.092

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?	BUY	31.0¢	0.98	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?	BUY	31.0¢	84	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?	BUY	32.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 5?	BUY	31.0¢	15.014	Mar 5
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	210	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	33.9¢	90	Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?	BUY	42.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	BUY	55.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?	BUY	80.0¢	400	Mar 5
Will USA win Pool B at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	87.0¢	5.095	Mar 4
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 March 2-8?	BUY	93.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in March?	BUY	90.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?	BUY	90.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will XRP reach $2.00 in March?	BUY	90.0¢	100	Mar 4
Will Solana reach $110 March 2-8?	BUY	94.0¢	93.32	Mar 4
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	18.0¢	15.48	Mar 4
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	18.0¢	103	Mar 4
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	18.0¢	51	Mar 4
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	18.0¢	30.511	Mar 4
Will Dominican Republic win Pool D at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?	BUY	57.0¢	80.4	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency74.1%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity3,813 trades · 159 active days

P&L Calendar

$70,9995d profit154d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue