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abir369

0x173e04...634ae7
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
41.2%
Total P&L
-$4
Trade Count
192
Sharpe Ratio
2.34
Sortino Ratio
28.17
Max Drawdown
893.4%
ROI
-0.9%
Profit Factor
0.96
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY24.4¢10Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL64.0¢15.73Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY25.5¢5.02Mar 5
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY15.0¢10Mar 4
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL15.0¢10Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY52.4¢5.725Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?BUY19.0¢10Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSELL41.0¢2.74Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY36.0¢2.778Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETSELL10.1¢2.67Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY36.9¢2.71Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY4.0¢10Mar 3
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June?BUY14.3¢10Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL73.0¢31.23Mar 3
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY10.0¢10Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETSELL44.0¢1.21Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY82.0¢1.22Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETBUY49.0¢2.041Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY28.0¢3.571Mar 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY55.9¢1.789Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%20%< 10%17%10–20%13%20–30%26%30–50%13%50–70%70–80%8%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.66
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.66
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity192 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$725d profit8d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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