Abradox

0x91fc54...c20109

Smart Score

Win Rate

68.4%

Total P&L

+$2.4K

Trade Count

3,804

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.27

Max Drawdown

2439.3%

ROI

1.7%

Profit Factor

2.02

Kelly Fraction

0.345

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	78.0¢	19.21	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	69.0¢	25	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	69.0¢	25	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	68.0¢	55.34	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	81.0¢	150	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	75.0¢	50	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	75.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	75.1¢	260	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	193.1	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	10	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	15	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	1.983	Feb 17
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	260	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	0.01	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	4.4	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	74.984	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	0.51	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	59.0¢	300	Feb 17
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	69.0¢	250	Feb 17
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	19.0¢	618.32	Feb 17

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.27

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.9%

Win Consistency50.2%

Profit Factor0.60

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.37

Trading Activity3,804 trades · 42 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,24416d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue