ac43

0x32c58c...ef5ec4
Smart Score
34
Win Rate
82.6%
Total P&L
+$26
Trade Count
198
Sharpe Ratio
0.02
Sortino Ratio
0.02
Max Drawdown
49703.3%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
21.55
Kelly Fraction
0.788
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
033.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY99.9¢1.031Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY95.0¢1.242Mar 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢1,780.53Dec 6
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢137.41Dec 6
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢250Dec 6
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢84Dec 6
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢73.36Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢79Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢373Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢13,128.89Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢158Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢1,666.667Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢90Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢100Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢56.07Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢81Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢50.58Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢59Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢79Dec 5
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.6¢77Dec 4
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%30–50%5%50–70%32%70–80%80–90%44%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.86
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.8%
Win Consistency45.8%
Profit Factor0.88
Drawdown Resilience0.71
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71
Weekly Sharpe est.0.54
Trading Activity63 trades · 9 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$274d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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