Acekill

0x526c5c...0770c1

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

+$74

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.15

Max Drawdown

57.0%

ROI

24.1%

Profit Factor

2.03

Kelly Fraction

0.169

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	52.0¢	9.615	Mar 5
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	92.3¢	50	Feb 28
Will Storm win Melodi Grand Prix 2026?	BUY	25.0¢	10	Feb 28
Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)	BUY	20.0¢	25	Feb 20
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	2.8¢	357.143	Feb 20
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	4.5¢	200	Feb 20
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	2.6¢	192.308	Feb 20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	20.0¢	50	Jan 30
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	BUY	0.4¢	1,200	Jan 30
Will FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?	BUY	8.1¢	124.123	Sep 8
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?	SELL	99.9¢	104.85	May 17
Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?	BUY	23.2¢	104.854	Mar 10
Will Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?	BUY	7.1¢	70.27	Mar 10
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?	BUY	42.0¢	9.524	Mar 9
Sidemen Charity Match	BUY	36.0¢	13.889	Mar 8
Israel military action against Iraq before November?	BUY	0.5¢	1,000	Oct 29
Israel military action against Iraq before November?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Oct 29
Israel military action against Iraq before November?	BUY	0.5¢	400	Oct 29
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	BUY	16.6¢	21.311	Oct 29
Will Trump win 5 swing states?	BUY	18.0¢	5.556	Oct 29

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.91

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.7%

Win Consistency29.6%

Profit Factor0.90

Drawdown Resilience0.73

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.73

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity11 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

+$902d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue