Acid29

0x55c510...1398b9
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
95.8%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
26
Sharpe Ratio
-3.19
Sortino Ratio
-3.18
Max Drawdown
1127.3%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
160.66
Kelly Fraction
0.952
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
028.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 5?BUY99.3¢1.41Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 5?BUY99.9¢1.34Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.37Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 5?BUY99.9¢1.49Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on March 2?BUY99.9¢1.28Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢1.18Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?BUY99.5¢1.42Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.3Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 2?BUY99.8¢1.24Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.4¢1.18Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 3?BUY99.3¢1.5Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?BUY99.5¢1.22Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?BUY99.7¢1.46Mar 2
Will there be at least 1,250 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?BUY99.9¢1.43Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?BUY99.9¢1.44Feb 27
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 February 23-March 1?BUY99.8¢1.42Feb 27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.4¢1.45Feb 27
Will Solana dip to $60 in February?BUY99.7¢1.12Feb 27
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY99.5¢1.4Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 26?BUY99.9¢1.65Feb 24
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing28.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.57
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.9%
Win Consistency41.7%
Profit Factor0.74
Drawdown Resilience0.60
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60
Weekly Sharpe est.0.46
Trading Activity26 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$360d profit4d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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