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AdamKahnwald

0xaaf902...2e5211
Smart Score
33
Win Rate
73.5%
Total P&L
+$156
Trade Count
1,308
Sharpe Ratio
0.60
Sortino Ratio
2.17
Max Drawdown
2094.8%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
2.35
Kelly Fraction
0.422
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
033.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 7?BUY96.0¢6.14Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 58°F or higher on March 7?BUY88.0¢6.7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on March 7?BUY88.0¢6.7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 7?BUY92.0¢6.29Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 84°F or higher on March 7?BUY92.0¢6.42Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 7?BUY76.0¢7.77Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 5?SELL99.5¢0.924Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 7?BUY96.0¢6.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 31°C on March 7?BUY88.0¢6.69Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or higher on March 7?BUY92.0¢6.39Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 7?SELL99.0¢2.96Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on March 7?SELL99.0¢5.19Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 7?BUY94.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 50-51°F on March 7?BUY75.0¢5.19Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 7?BUY75.0¢2.96Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 6?SELL99.5¢1.216Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?SELL99.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?BUY94.0¢6.19Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 6?BUY95.0¢6.14Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on March 6?BUY96.1¢6.07Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%14%< 10%5%10–20%4%20–30%5%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%68%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing33.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.4%
Win Consistency64.0%
Profit Factor0.87
Drawdown Resilience0.70
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.70
Weekly Sharpe est.0.53
Trading Activity1,308 trades · 38 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$38913d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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