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adgy90

0x4bdbf8...52e382
Smart Score
52
Win Rate
56.3%
Total P&L
+$186
Trade Count
45
Sharpe Ratio
1.54
Sortino Ratio
10.14
Max Drawdown
31.4%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
1.87
Kelly Fraction
0.261
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
051.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL99.0¢982.74Mar 5
Pistons vs. SpursBUY60.0¢125.36Mar 5
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY99.1¢982.74Mar 5
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.1¢1,154.46Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token by May 31, 2026?BUY99.9¢48.59Mar 4
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.2¢1,154.46Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.2¢1,147.77Mar 4
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY99.6¢65.552Mar 4
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.3¢1,147.77Mar 4
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢820.48Mar 4
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢820.48Mar 3
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?BUY41.0¢213.33Mar 3
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL99.0¢1,086.72Mar 3
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY99.1¢1,086.72Mar 3
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.5¢860Mar 3
Spurs vs. 76ersBUY74.0¢153.07Mar 3
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.6¢860Mar 3
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.7¢1,151Mar 2
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?BUY99.8¢83.427Mar 2
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.8¢1,151Mar 1

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%10%30–50%7%50–70%13%70–80%3%80–90%67%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing51.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.83
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.9%
Win Consistency23.1%
Profit Factor1.34
Drawdown Resilience1.08
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08
Weekly Sharpe est.0.82
Trading Activity45 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,5960d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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