adripqs13

0x20d51d...b1cd1c

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.4%

Total P&L

+$59

Trade Count

107

Sharpe Ratio

1.24

Sortino Ratio

33.77

Max Drawdown

5.4%

ROI

6.6%

Profit Factor

1.34

Kelly Fraction

0.075

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	1.2¢	86.667	Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	19.0¢	52.632	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	41.0¢	38.46	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	16.1¢	124.224	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	6.5¢	15.385	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	8.2¢	319.79	Mar 4
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	5.4¢	319.793	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?	BUY	4.2¢	23.81	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	4.6¢	108.696	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	11.1¢	45.167	Mar 4
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	SELL	27.0¢	104.16	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?	BUY	43.0¢	22.953	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	20.0¢	50	Mar 3
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 3?	BUY	1.7¢	58.056	Mar 3
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)	BUY	1.7¢	58.824	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 4, 2026?	BUY	7.7¢	51.964	Mar 2
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	51.155	Mar 2
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?	SELL	10.0¢	208.33	Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	26.0¢	38.462	Mar 2
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	3.6¢	27.778	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.1%

Win Consistency58.9%

Profit Factor1.52

Drawdown Resilience1.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.93

Trading Activity107 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$2232d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue