0xa3a1f0...003d0b

Smart Score

Win Rate

81.8%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-5.43

Sortino Ratio

-4.64

Max Drawdown

1150.8%

ROI

0.8%

Profit Factor

2.91

Kelly Fraction

0.537

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

017.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	1.075	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	1.111	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?	SELL	99.8¢	1	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 5?	SELL	99.8¢	1	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?	SELL	99.8¢	1	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 5?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	SELL	99.9¢	1	Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Mar 5
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	92.0¢	3.261	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	93.2¢	2.14	Mar 3
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	93.4¢	2.141	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	SELL	99.9¢	2	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	99.7¢	2.006	Mar 2
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	1.1	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	BUY	90.5¢	1.105	Feb 27

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing17.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.1%

Win Consistency36.4%

Profit Factor0.46

Drawdown Resilience0.37

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37

Weekly Sharpe est.0.28

Trading Activity18 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$62d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue