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aeorist2021

0x962603...2b464e@Techistuff
Smart Score
15
Win Rate
39.6%
Total P&L
-$64
Trade Count
90
Sharpe Ratio
2.39
Sortino Ratio
66.82
Max Drawdown
90.0%
ROI
-30.0%
Profit Factor
0.18
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
015.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSELL86.1¢2.01Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETBUY48.9¢2.045Mar 4
Trump out as President by March 31?BUY2.0¢50Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?BUY1.6¢64.063Mar 4
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.9¢1.054Mar 4
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY3.0¢33.333Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL5.0¢47.62Mar 4
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL3.2¢76.92Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY2.1¢47.619Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 1320-1359 tweets in March 2026?SELL7.1¢1.03Mar 4
Will 'The Romantic' debut week album sales be between 150k and 200k?BUY7.0¢14.286Mar 4
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?SELL0.8¢290.9Mar 4
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?SELL56.0¢2.08Mar 4
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?BUY9.5¢10.526Mar 4
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY48.0¢2.083Mar 4
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?BUY1.3¢76.923Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL21.3¢11.9Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL3.6¢28.57Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 135 and 149 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 4
Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?BUY13.3¢7.519Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%74%< 10%12%10–20%20–30%10%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing15.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.84
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.8%
Win Consistency44.9%
Profit Factor0.40
Drawdown Resilience0.32
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32
Weekly Sharpe est.0.24
Trading Activity90 trades · 4 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$852d profit2d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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