afdehde

0x5fe857...064dd8

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.0%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.46

Sortino Ratio

58.69

Max Drawdown

6.2%

ROI

6.6%

Profit Factor

27.55

Kelly Fraction

0.482

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

072.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,228.97	Mar 5
Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	BUY	99.8¢	47.074	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.3¢	812	Mar 4
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.4¢	812	Mar 3
Will Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?	BUY	19.0¢	427.32	Mar 3
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.2¢	922.41	Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	85.658	Mar 2
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.3¢	922.41	Mar 1
Clippers vs. Warriors	BUY	51.0¢	185.38	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	SELL	99.5¢	1,034.01	Mar 1
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	BUY	99.6¢	1,034.01	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	33.447	Feb 26
St. Brieuc: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Hugo Gaston	BUY	50.0¢	31.78	Feb 26
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	99.4¢	1,013.83	Feb 26
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.5¢	1,013.83	Feb 25
Utah State Aggies vs. San Diego State Aztecs	BUY	50.0¢	29.02	Feb 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1,054.57	Feb 25
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	1,054.57	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	35.417	Feb 24
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.6¢	1,203	Feb 24

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active72.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.97

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)65.6%

Win Consistency22.2%

Profit Factor1.87

Drawdown Resilience1.51

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.51

Weekly Sharpe est.1.15

Trading Activity24 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$3,2570d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue