afder78

0x2f435a...cb8be2

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.6%

Total P&L

+$610

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.96

Sortino Ratio

-3.42

Max Drawdown

373.8%

ROI

1.4%

Profit Factor

30.46

Kelly Fraction

0.537

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

020.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Sabres vs. Penguins	BUY	52.0¢	135.59	Mar 5
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.4¢	1,273.39	Mar 4
Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	42.89	Mar 4
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.5¢	1,273.39	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,329.24	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,329.238	Mar 4
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,283	Mar 4
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,283	Mar 4
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	1,138.61	Mar 3
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	1,138.617	Mar 3
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	1,030	Mar 3
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	BUY	45.0¢	254.07	Mar 3
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,030	Mar 3
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,159.22	Mar 2
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,159.22	Mar 2
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	1,207.28	Mar 2
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	1,207.287	Mar 2
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.8¢	1,119.01	Mar 2
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.9¢	1,119.019	Mar 2
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,383	Mar 2

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing20.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.12

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.6%

Win Consistency20.8%

Profit Factor0.53

Drawdown Resilience0.43

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.43

Weekly Sharpe est.0.33

Trading Activity46 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,6190d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue