ahhuat8

0x0cad11...1b5dd0

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.1%

Total P&L

-$984

Trade Count

584

Sharpe Ratio

-0.29

Sortino Ratio

-1.20

Max Drawdown

2174.3%

ROI

-6.2%

Profit Factor

0.54

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	10	Mar 5
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	SELL	25.0¢	76	Mar 5
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	BUY	16.0¢	200	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	158	Mar 5
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	1.9¢	100	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	59.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.2¢	500	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	99.3¢	20	Mar 5
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?	SELL	24.0¢	21	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	57.0¢	13	Mar 5
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	BUY	16.0¢	500	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	10.8¢	76.2	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	10.8¢	8.5	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	10.8¢	91.724	Mar 5
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	10.8¢	594.566	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	85.5¢	82.6	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	SELL	85.5¢	7.2	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BUY	11.0¢	9.77	Mar 4
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	300.01	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.9¢	35	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.5%

Win Consistency29.9%

Profit Factor0.10

Drawdown Resilience0.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.06

Trading Activity584 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,4220d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue