AleMale

0x5fbe5d...a48215

Smart Score

Win Rate

18.8%

Total P&L

-$1.4K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.64

Sortino Ratio

1.94

Max Drawdown

203.1%

ROI

-41.1%

Profit Factor

0.27

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	63.0¢	79.365	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026?	BUY	2.2¢	454.545	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	1.4¢	364.286	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.7¢	303.679	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.3¢	363.398	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton's remarks not air?	BUY	1.9¢	521.713	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Secretary" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	0.4¢	223.5	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Silence" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	0.6¢	164.286	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Hillary" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.4¢	357.143	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Israel" during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.3¢	76.923	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "President" or "Trump" 3+ times during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	0.8¢	259.957	Mar 5
Will Bill Clinton say "Epstein" or "Island" 10+ times during his Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.0¢	100	Mar 5
Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?	BUY	1.9¢	515.303	Mar 5
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?	BUY	8.9¢	224.556	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.7¢	236.128	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	28.0¢	107.143	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	93.0¢	107.527	Mar 2
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	21.2¢	235.849	Mar 2
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	8.3¢	602.41	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	0.2¢	5,000	Mar 2

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency28.1%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity34 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,2571d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue