Alexphan

0x498601...eeaacb
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
27.2%
Total P&L
-$1.5K
Trade Count
1,376
Sharpe Ratio
0.26
Sortino Ratio
15.94
Max Drawdown
42389.8%
ROI
-4.1%
Profit Factor
0.71
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
019.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY5.6¢17.893Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY2.0¢50.3Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY1.4¢72.841Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY8.9¢11.297Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY4.0¢50.45Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY25.9¢107.911Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY2.4¢42.074Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY1.5¢66.667Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY5.9¢169.114Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY6.2¢162.112Mar 5
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?BUY29.0¢374.828Mar 4
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?BUY41.0¢756.098Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?SELL1.1¢120.35Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?SELL55.1¢753.32Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?SELL6.0¢40Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?BUY92.9¢753.326Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY35.8¢83.775Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?SELL12.4¢150.98Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL62.0¢181.81Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?BUY41.0¢36.585Mar 3
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%34%< 10%14%10–20%11%20–30%17%30–50%13%50–70%4%70–80%4%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing19.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.07
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.6%
Win Consistency35.1%
Profit Factor0.50
Drawdown Resilience0.41
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.41
Weekly Sharpe est.0.31
Trading Activity1,376 trades · 112 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,18722d profit71d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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