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AlexPositron

0x1054d9...e5e7aa
Smart Score
36
Win Rate
90.9%
Total P&L
+$410
Trade Count
137
Sharpe Ratio
-0.13
Sortino Ratio
-0.10
Max Drawdown
194158.6%
ROI
36.3%
Profit Factor
23.35
Kelly Fraction
0.870
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 5?BUY98.9¢7.179Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on March 6?BUY99.4¢7.146Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 6?BUY98.8¢7.186Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 6?BUY98.8¢7.186Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?BUY99.1¢7.164Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 6?BUY98.6¢7.201Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?SELL99.8¢3.62Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?SELL99.9¢5.12Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?BUY98.8¢3.623Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 5?BUY98.8¢3.623Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 6?BUY98.1¢3.649Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?SELL99.9¢5.16Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL99.9¢5.6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 4?BUY98.6¢5.121Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY97.8¢5.164Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 5?BUY98.6¢5.122Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 4?SELL99.9¢5.04Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 4?SELL99.9¢5.06Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL0.4¢6.39Mar 4
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?BUY94.0¢3.989Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%12%10–20%20–30%12%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%75%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.3%
Win Consistency69.3%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.75
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.75
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity137 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$9293d profit15d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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