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AlexZA3

0x5c5b3f...d31a6d
Smart Score
58
Win Rate
70.6%
Total P&L
+$656
Trade Count
123
Sharpe Ratio
4.41
Sortino Ratio
8.22
Max Drawdown
573.2%
ROI
28.7%
Profit Factor
5.88
Kelly Fraction
0.586
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
057.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY40.0¢39.51Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?SELL75.0¢31.72Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?SELL77.0¢31.72Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL14.0¢227.03Mar 5
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL14.0¢227.03Mar 5
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY29.4¢25Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?BUY29.0¢20.39Mar 4
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?BUY29.0¢59Mar 4
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY34.0¢25Mar 4
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?BUY42.0¢220.1Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?SELL76.0¢18.76Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY17.0¢176.47Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL72.0¢144.39Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY15.0¢277.59Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?BUY11.0¢22.472Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?BUY11.0¢11.236Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 5, 2026?BUY11.0¢37.09Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?BUY73.0¢18.76Mar 3
US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY60.0¢26.25Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?BUY24.0¢90.11Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%5%10–20%17%20–30%38%30–50%30%50–70%4%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active57.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.18
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)52.7%
Win Consistency70.6%
Profit Factor1.51
Drawdown Resilience1.22
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.22
Weekly Sharpe est.0.93
Trading Activity123 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,6311d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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