AliceSherwood

0x2bed22...fde869

Smart Score

Win Rate

57.1%

Total P&L

+$9

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.28

Sortino Ratio

-0.20

Max Drawdown

295.3%

ROI

0.9%

Profit Factor

3.00

Kelly Fraction

0.381

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	BUY	38.0¢	2.658	Mar 5
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	BUY	79.0¢	4.456	Feb 7
Cavaliers vs. Suns	BUY	52.0¢	2	Jan 29
Clippers vs. Trail Blazers	BUY	55.0¢	5.13	Dec 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 21?	BUY	99.9¢	1,004.004	Nov 20
Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?	SELL	80.0¢	0.13	Oct 3
Will a Republican win Montana US Senate Election?	BUY	79.0¢	0.139	Oct 2
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	BUY	49.1¢	20.468	Sep 29

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.1%

Win Consistency57.1%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity5 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0110d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue