alisha2

0x2b86c9...099b11

Smart Score

Win Rate

47.9%

Total P&L

-$93

Trade Count

107

Sharpe Ratio

0.19

Sortino Ratio

1.78

Max Drawdown

306.6%

ROI

-2.5%

Profit Factor

-0.02

Kelly Fraction

1.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?	BUY	68.0¢	2.941	Mar 5
Will Extended launch a token by June 30 2026?	BUY	68.0¢	1.471	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	SELL	49.0¢	2.08	Mar 5
Modi out by December 31, 2026?	BUY	9.0¢	11.111	Mar 5
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?	SELL	99.9¢	1.52	Feb 26
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?	BUY	98.6¢	1.521	Feb 25
Will MEXC be accused of insider trading?	BUY	3.6¢	56.111	Feb 25
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Feb 25
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	14.0¢	14.286	Feb 22
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	BUY	44.0¢	2.273	Feb 21
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?	BUY	17.0¢	5.882	Feb 21
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?	SELL	3.5¢	10	Feb 20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	SELL	48.0¢	50	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?	SELL	73.6¢	50	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	66.7¢	32.77	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	66.7¢	5	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	BUY	66.7¢	12.23	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	50	Feb 17
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?	SELL	78.0¢	12.12	Feb 17
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?	BUY	83.0¢	12.12	Feb 17

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%

Win Consistency44.9%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity103 trades · 34 active days

P&L Calendar

$1455d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue