alkhamed

0x4712ac...a299d1

Smart Score

Win Rate

67.6%

Total P&L

+$221

Trade Count

156

Sharpe Ratio

1.37

Sortino Ratio

4.52

Max Drawdown

145.8%

ROI

5.6%

Profit Factor

4.29

Kelly Fraction

0.519

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	SELL	41.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will France strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	84.3¢	119.609	Mar 2
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?	BUY	57.4¢	34.828	Mar 2
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	62.0¢	57.274	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	94.0¢	117.021	Mar 2
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 3?	BUY	96.4¢	22.967	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	92.0¢	65.217	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?	BUY	84.8¢	58.952	Mar 2
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 2-8?	BUY	87.0¢	30	Mar 2
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	92.0¢	14.63	Mar 1
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?	BUY	91.0¢	76.923	Mar 1
US strikes Iraq by March 7?	BUY	26.9¢	74.349	Mar 1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs	SELL	69.0¢	75.42	Mar 1
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs	BUY	97.7¢	500	Mar 1
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	539.701	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	SELL	70.1¢	31	Feb 28
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	64.5¢	31.008	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	258.391	Feb 26
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	SELL	94.1¢	158.32	Feb 26
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	SELL	94.2¢	25	Feb 26

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.1%

Win Consistency61.9%

Profit Factor1.20

Drawdown Resilience0.97

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.97

Weekly Sharpe est.0.74

Trading Activity156 trades · 14 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,6701d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue