allennick

0x0bd6ce...099f8d

Smart Score

Win Rate

36.4%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

118

Sharpe Ratio

0.68

Sortino Ratio

11.64

Max Drawdown

352.2%

ROI

-2.1%

Profit Factor

0.79

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	35.0¢	2.77	Mar 5
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	36.0¢	2.778	Mar 5
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?	SELL	89.4¢	1.01	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?	SELL	48.0¢	1.96	Mar 4
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in March 2026?	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Mar 4
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?	SELL	86.0¢	1	Mar 4
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	SELL	69.6¢	1.39	Mar 4
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?	BUY	71.5¢	1.399	Mar 4
Larger margin of victory in Dem or GOP Texas Senate Primary?	BUY	99.5¢	1.005	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	93.3¢	1.06	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	8.3¢	11.9	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	8.4¢	11.905	Mar 4
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	BUY	94.2¢	1.062	Feb 26
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	1.64	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	SELL	60.0¢	3.63	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	61.0¢	1.639	Feb 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.37

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.7%

Win Consistency57.9%

Profit Factor0.65

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity118 trades · 20 active days

P&L Calendar

$166d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue