alpharb

0x4de280...43d289
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
36.5%
Total P&L
+$6.3K
Trade Count
3,993
Sharpe Ratio
1.10
Sortino Ratio
8.93
Max Drawdown
491.3%
ROI
15.3%
Profit Factor
1.58
Kelly Fraction
0.134
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
029.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?BUY53.2¢19Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY18.4¢19Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY28.0¢19Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?SELL2.5¢14Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY96.6¢20Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?BUY53.0¢15Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?BUY28.9¢15Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY17.7¢15Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY3.0¢40Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY96.6¢20Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY88.4¢50Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.1¢50Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.1¢50Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?BUY9.0¢50Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY88.4¢50Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 5?BUY9.0¢50Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.6¢1Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.6¢10Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.6¢14Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on March 5?BUY2.6¢25Mar 5
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%21%10–20%15%20–30%15%30–50%13%50–70%9%70–80%8%80–90%3%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.7%
Win Consistency48.5%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.62
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.62
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity3,993 trades · 42 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$24,9162d profit40d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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