Amaranthay

0x0bb71c...c04594

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.2%

Total P&L

+$2.8K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.51

Sortino Ratio

31.27

Max Drawdown

57.8%

ROI

154.7%

Profit Factor

17.10

Kelly Fraction

0.519

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

076.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?	BUY	3.6¢	111.111	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 4?	BUY	0.7¢	142.857	Mar 4
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 3?	BUY	99.7¢	200.602	Mar 3
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on March 2?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Mar 2
Will the price of Solana be above $90 on February 28?	BUY	0.9¢	111.111	Feb 28
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 27?	BUY	99.9¢	500.5	Feb 27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 13?	BUY	97.0¢	124.766	Feb 13
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on February 12?	BUY	99.9¢	305.382	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11?	BUY	2.1¢	238.095	Feb 11
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on February 10?	BUY	0.6¢	170.263	Feb 10
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 9?	BUY	0.9¢	109.982	Feb 9
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 8?	BUY	0.2¢	600	Feb 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?	BUY	1.9¢	105.789	Feb 5
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on February 4?	BUY	0.4¢	250	Feb 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 3?	BUY	99.5¢	166.827	Feb 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on February 2?	BUY	2.3¢	85.417	Feb 2
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	500.5	Jan 31
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 30?	BUY	0.3¢	333.333	Jan 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro76.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.20

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)69.4%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor1.98

Drawdown Resilience1.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.60

Weekly Sharpe est.1.22

Trading Activity18 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,8130d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue