AmaryllisDaphne

0x180677...4c91b3

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.0%

Total P&L

-$17

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.49

Sortino Ratio

1.49

Max Drawdown

48.3%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.58

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	1,209.737	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - February 9, 3AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	8.7	Feb 9
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	240.04	Feb 8
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	240.04	Feb 7
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	241.95	Feb 5
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	241.958	Feb 4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	240.26	Feb 4
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	240.26	Feb 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.84	Feb 3
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	3.19	Feb 3
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	99.8¢	235.48	Feb 2
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	99.9¢	235.485	Feb 2
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	0.43	Jan 31
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	7.87	Jan 31
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2AM ET	BUY	50.0¢	6.91	Jan 31
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.6¢	243.83	Jan 30
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.6¢	243.835	Jan 29
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	245.29	Jan 29
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	245.298	Jan 29
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	98.9¢	245.79	Jan 29

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.3%

Win Consistency28.6%

Profit Factor0.69

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity39 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$1127d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue