Andy-Beshear

0x5e5bbd...63590d

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.7%

Total P&L

+$66.6K

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.31

Sortino Ratio

2.13

Max Drawdown

939.6%

ROI

55.7%

Profit Factor

2.09

Kelly Fraction

0.228

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Pakistan in March?	BUY	7.3¢	572.71	Mar 2
Will Iran strike Turkey in March?	BUY	14.6¢	400	Mar 2
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	34.0¢	300	Feb 28
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	1.8¢	2,061	Feb 28
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?	SELL	5.8¢	104.39	Feb 28
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?	SELL	5.8¢	57.899	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	263.61	Feb 27
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.5¢	24.55	Feb 27
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.5¢	800	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	53.0¢	290	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 12, 2026?	BUY	47.0¢	2.39	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	53.0¢	10	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	BUY	53.0¢	300	Feb 27
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.5¢	595.2	Feb 27
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?	SELL	5.8¢	5	Feb 27
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	SELL	2.4¢	181.51	Feb 27
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	SELL	19.0¢	1,052	Feb 23
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?	BUY	10.5¢	1,601.26	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	26.0¢	1,052	Feb 20
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?	BUY	8.2¢	130.99	Feb 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.6%

Win Consistency50.4%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 95 active days

P&L Calendar

$81,9026d profit89d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue