Aniyyel

0x6a8b09...94eeac

Smart Score

Win Rate

18.2%

Total P&L

-$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

7.48

Sortino Ratio

31.35

Max Drawdown

29.7%

ROI

-31.5%

Profit Factor

0.18

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	0.7¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	0.7¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	0.7¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	15.0¢	0.71	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	0.7¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	12.0¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	18.0¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	12.0¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	0.7¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	24.0¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	19.0¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	0.7¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	13.0¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	14.0¢	0.85	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	19.0¢	0.65	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	SELL	13.0¢	0.53	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	24.0¢	0.72	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	0.6¢	0.5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	SELL	24.0¢	0.72	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.9%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue